Low humidity is a definite possibility! Go to
http://www.weather.com/outdoors/home-im ... t/humidity reading right now for Dallas Tx are 53 degrees outside, 35% Relative Humidity, 74 thermostat setting inside produces 17% indoor relative humidity too low. Stephen is correct you most likely have a moisture imbalance. I am an NWFA inspector in El Paso and see it all the time. I use a Lignomat Versa Tec moisture meter which scans, pin, and insuti testing. Utilizing the pin meter with insulated 1 1/2" pins I would read mc top 1/4" and record the reading, drive pins to bottom @ 3/4" and record reading. If the difference 1% or more cupping may occur. Cupping of 0.10 is consider acceptable 0.02 not so much. Needs remediation.
Driving into the plywood will usually produce a higher reading and that will generally define the imbalance. Need further proof remove a board and insert an insuti probe with will tell you what the relative humidity at 40% of the slab is if 75% or more definitely moisture from the slab. Cupping from moisture generally is U shaped edges higher than the center. Dry cupping generally has High edges but but drops down and the center is flatter with checks generally occurring evident. Obviously if the moisture content from top to bottom is less than 1% is probably is not moisture related. But if dry cupping would be prominent in more than one local. This method of testing should definitively produce the real culprit. Oh and by the way there is no such thing as a vapor barrier only a vapor retarder. The best methods only produce a 95% stoppage. Additionally the retarder between the plywood and hardwood has to allow some vapor to pass or eventually the subfloor would rot. While there are numerous causes for one I found a ac drain broken, water slid down the wall and was absorbed into the slab caused a localized buckling 3 feet from the wall.
Someone with the proper equipment and knowledge should be able to assess and figure this out. Try
http://www.nwfacp.org for nwfa inspectors in your area. Make sure they have the capability and equipment by asking if they can accomplish what is written here. Testing and applying industry standards should define your problem and how to re-mediate it.